War Game: Is the Chicanery going as planned?

Remember the election war game white paper from this summer that most people dismissed as conspiracy theory thinking? (see one report). Is it going as planned?

I think so.

If I remember, the talking points around its analysis suggested the key for things for the Dems was to gain narrative control early. This would pressure state legislatures not to disrupt things. Media control was used to ensure Trump couldn't declare early victory. Slow counting was key to enable this. Then media control would declare Biden victory.  One weak point was how to solidify this without seeming duplicitous. Getting foreign leaders to congratulate early seems to be a very smart innovation since the white paper came out.

The war game's likely scenario was that some electors would not be able to validate the election. That would leave things up to the house. 

I suspect that's where we'll wind up. 

I think that is the best and fairest case anyway. Republicans might not like it. But it seems the most honest. Then the Trumpist move is to stoke Pelosi's ego so it happens. Then, from the Republican side, Biden is castigated. 

As far as the Supreme court goes. If things get to them with respect to uncertified electors, they may decide they need to nip election chicanery in the bud. The easiest way to do that is to enable uncertified electors, trusting the House not to upset the Dem's wise move of getting things called early. Plus, this protects Deep State institutions and corruptions from Trump's laptop enabled criminal probe.

The main chip Trump has to play here is the special prosecutor chip. If this scenario buys Trump off from burning down "corrupt" elite actors & institutions with a vindictive special prosecutor, Trump MIGHT go for it. He goes down as less of a loser, at the cost of unfulfilled revenge.

I think that deal would work for him. He's taking the bet that state apparati will resist any criminal investigation so much it probably won't happen. The media will play cover for that. Therefore the safe bet is to avoid tearing the country down more, and get it out in the open that "extra-legal" means were used. This then forces government strucutres to come out and decide how to enfrancise voters via mail-in or equivalent means while figuring out how to keep just the right number of extra late counted votes from going to your side.

Here's the logic that keeps things from an early shutdown - provided of course the war game plan to demoralize Trump does not succeed. If I remember, that seemed to be a key point mentioned in the war game play.

link for this excellent twitter thread statistical analysis

link