Other than a house contested election, this looks to be about the worst scenario possible for election violence.
I got surprised that Biden took Arizona so easily. Some republicans still think mail-in and absentee ballots may make that a pre-mature call, but I doubt it.
That leaves Pennsylvania as the key to the whole election. They allow late voting and don't require signature matching. That's a rife combo for fraud. In addition, Pittsburg is a known hotspot for election shenanigans.
That leaves both camps ready to come out this weekend at the same time in their "shows of commitment". That spells disaster! I doubt things will be sorted out by then. But the legal theatrics will have peaked. That means my model for civil unrest (R celebrations peaking Tuesday and Wed, D protests peaking on the weekend) is wrong. You'll get competing demonstrations and violence will ensue.
Add to this, the Supreme court's decision under Roberts to steer away from uniform voter decisions to favour state autonomy via some convoluted reasoning between which non-legislative rule changes are and aren't allowed under emergency Covid measures, and you're going to end up with a Supreme Court deciding the whole election via its call on Pennsylvania.
Decisions like that which the populace sees are fairly arbitrary and politicized do not bode well for civil stability.
It is going to get nasty as duelling protests gradually ramp up. The rate at which violence emerges all depends on how much control Democratic grass root activists have over BLM and Antifa. I think the dragon is out of the box on this one.
Here's the type evidence people are using to contest whatever result comes out against their tribe.
ReplyDeleteI doubt any explanation will satisfy. This is because when no evidence of wrong doing is ever accepted then it is very easy to throw out anything that goes against your tribe.
Rule of law is basically broken.